Friday, 21 March 2008

Season Defining Weekend

Easter weekend 2008 will be a season defining one for many, especially if they follow football and in particular the English Premier League. Sunday has an exciting menu on the football pitch. Manchester United, the league leaders entertain fourth placed Liverpool while Arsenal go South across town to face Chelsea at the bridge. Chelsea and Arsenal are the only two teams who are yet to lose a home game this season. Whilst both of them have conceded 22 goals so far this season, Arsenal have scored 5 more than Chelsea's tally of 53. Also Arsenal's away record this season has been pretty dismal compared to the other big three. The gunners, along with Liverpool have won 7 out of 14 games, which is a 50% win rate against United's 9/15 at 60%, Chelsea's 10/16 at 62.5%. It will be worth waiting to see what happens to the United-Liverpool game early on as it is likely to have an impact on the starting eleven of both sides.

When Liverpool travel to Old Trafford, they will have their task cut out; secure three points! Now how difficult is that? Old Trafford has never been an easy venue when you are visiting. Packed to capacity with 70,000 passionate United supporters with an inbred dissent towards Liverpool, Old Trafford will witness once again the fortunes of another season being manipulated. Clashes between United and Liverpool have always been ugly and it will be nasty, brutal, highly physical and volatile, end-to-end football. Goal or no goal, this is one clash I am looking forward to. Benitez has already shown his disapproval of Sir Alex's psychotrics and mind games. The all important question that we need to ask is how will the referees react to the Scot's demands of protecting Ronaldo. There is already a lot that has been said about it and Ronaldo is also has the reputation of being a diver.

Now for the possible outcomes and how the top four will look.

United win and Arsenal win
1. United with 73 points
2. Arsenal with 70 points
3. Chelsea with 65 points
4. Liverpool with 59 points

United win and Arsenal lose
1. United with 73 points
2. Chelsea with 68 points
3. Arsenal with 67 points
4. Liverpool with 59 points

United win and a draw
1. United with 73 points
2. Arsenal with 68 points
3. Chelsea with 66 points
4. Liverpool with 59 points

United lose and Arsenal lose
1. United with 70 points
2. Chelsea with 68 points
3. Arsenal with 67 points
4. Liverpool with 62 points

United lose and Arsenal win
1. United with 70 points
2. Arsenal with 70 points
3. Chelsea with 65 points
4. Liverpool with 62 points

United lose and draw
1.United with 70 points
2. Arsenal with 68 points
3. Chelsea with 66 points
4. Liverpool with 62 points

Draw and Arsenal win
1. United with 71 points
2. Arsenal with 70 points
3. Chelsea with 65 points
4. Liverpool with 60 points

Draw and Arsenal lose
1. United with 71 points
2. Chelsea with 68 points
3. Arsenal with 67 points
4. Liverpool with 60 points

Draw and draw
1. United with 71 points
2. Arsenal with 68 points
3. Chelsea with 66 points
4. Liverpool with 60 points


Now the only result that will change the top four positions is a victory for Chelsea. If United win, result of the Arsenal Chelsea game will not matter because, either way United will be five points clear. Now having said this, the outcome of Sunday's game will not remove United from top spot, but it will do enough to make their position precarious. Why? This is why.

After Easter's fixtures, United host Villa, travel to Middlesborough, host Arsenal, travel to Blackburn and Chelsea and host West Ham before finishing the season at Wigan. I can easily see three defeats if they get complacent. Yes, Arsenal, Chelsea and West Ham have the potential and the hammers did it twice last season! In recent times, this is by far, the closest season I have witnessed in the premiership.

Monday, 17 March 2008

What Was That!!!

Saturday did not start as well as I had expected it to start. One look at the timesheets and I knew Albert Park is down the drain even before the lights went out. No traction control, no launch control and see what we got. Only seven cars finished the race, of course not all cars crashed due to absence of electronics. Ferrari for a long long time did not have either car finishing. The last time this happened ironically was on this very circuit, two years ago, when Schumacher and Massa got out due to accidents. Now the last time we did not see either Ferrari finish due to reliability was way back at Nurburgring in Luxemburg, circa 1997. Eleven years! Phew, thats something! Anyways with Sepang practice starting on Good Friday, our men in red have their task cut out. Occupy the front row on Saturday and take eighteen points on Sunday. As simple as that... easier said than done!

Now moving on to football, United did not make mince-meat of Derby, but instead scraped through 1-0 to the top of the table on goal difference, as elsewhere Arsenal could only manage a draw against Middlesborough. Statistically United have been the best attacking and the best defending team this season, scoring 59 goals and letting in only 15. The squad depth is certainly paying off this season as we have seen Sir Alex shuffle and rotate players quite frequently.

RBS Six Nations came to a fantastic climax at Cardiff later in the day with Wales completing the grand slam in style. They devoured the French 29-12, as Shane Williams, according to my prediction in an earlier post scored a crucial try and sent the Millennium berserk! England finished a distant second with their 33-10 mauling of Ireland with new number 10 Danny Cipriani taking the lead.

Friday, 14 March 2008

Triple Bill Weekend

For a man who follows Formula One, Football and Rugby Union, this weekend comes as a Christmas gift, albeit a few months late.

First up the 2008 Formula One season has been flagged off with Friday's practice sessions at Albert Park circuit in Melbourne, Australia. From highlights on the ITV website, the absence of traction control could be seen, heard and felt as almost everyone took a walk in the park. What I will be looking forward to, tomorrow during the qualifying is the time sheets. I am predicting the cars to be around a few tenths of a second slower than last season with the absence of electronic aids, because the drivers will want to exercise a lot of caution whilst cornering and taking off. It will also be interesting to see them start off after pitting. Contrary to my preview, Red Bull, in the form of Mark Webber seemed to be amongst the front runners, which came as a surprise. Also Giancarlo Fisichella's time sheets showed that Force India mean business.

The top eight in practice 1 read as follows:
Raikkonen, Hamilton, Massa, Kovalainen, Webber, Alonso, Kubica and Glock. In terms of teams it reads Ferrari, Mclaren, Ferrari, Mclaren, Red Bull, Renault, BMW and Toyota.
Practice 2, however said a slightly different story, with Hamilton leading the pack from Webber, Massa, Kovalainen, Coulthard, Raikkonen, Trulli and Rosberg. This translates into Mclaren, Red Bull, Ferrari, Mclaren Red Bull, Ferrari, Toyota and Williams. However we still do not know who was carrying how much load.

Traditionally the Australian GP sees the top teams running a two stop strategy with the first stop occuring between laps 17 and 23 and the second stop occuring between 35 and 41 unless the teams have done something drastic and decide to go for a 3 stop strategy like Ferrari did way back in 2004. It will be hard to determine who is more likely to spring a surprise. Will it be Renault? Will it be the ever conservative Mclaren? Or will it be the volatile, but efficient strategists at Ferrari? I cant wait for the five red lights to go off!

Elsewhere in the Northern Hemisphere, we will get to see if Manchester United are able to overtake Arsenal once again this season as they face Derby County at Pride Park Stadium, while Liverpool host Reading, Roy Keane's Black Cats entertain Chelsea and the team to beat this season, Arsenal host Middlesborough.

The draws for Champions League quarter finals have been made and we will not see all four English clubs in the semi finals yet. The draw reignites some old rivalries, albeit with some new fervour:
Arsenal (England) v/s Liverpool (England)
Manchester United (England) v/s AS Roma (Italy)
Schalke o4 (Germany) v/s Barcelona (Spain)
Chelsea (England) v/s Fenerbahce(Turkey).

Now if Chelsea win, they will meet either Arsenal or Liverpool in the semi finals. This is will be a repeat of sorts for them as they defeated Arsenal in the quarter finals way back in 2004. They also lost to Liverpool in the semi finals, the next year, when Liverpool went all the way in Istanbul. If Liverpool defeat Arsenal, it will be the third time they will face Chelsea in the semi finals of the competition, provided Chelsea too win.

The Other interesting quarter final draw is the one between Manchester United and AS Roma. What surprises me is that excatly like last year, United travel to Roma first and then host Roma eight days later. It was a memorable tie last season, when United lost 1-0 at Rome and then hammered Roma 7-1, with Carrick's superb volley from outside the box initiating the annihilation. If United go through, they are likely to face Barcelona, with whom they played out two 3-3 draws in 1998-99 group stages. However if Schalke 04 win against Barcelona, United face the prospect of squaring off against a German side in the semi finals. The last time this happened, they lost to Bayern Leverkusen, who lost to eventual champions Real Madrid in the 2001-2002 season at Hampden Park in Glasgow.


The RBS 6 Nations reaches its final match-day this weekend, with England playing Ireland and Italy playing Scotland in games that are nothing but formalities. England coach Brian Ashton has taken a brave move of dropping hitman flyhalf Johnny Wilkinson in favour of young blood Danny Cipriani after last weekend's debacle at Murrayfield, when England lost to Scotland, 15-9, thus handing Scotland their only win of the competition so far.

The clash that everyone is waiting for, however is between Wales and France. After winning the triple crown last weekend, Wales are well on their course to the Grand Slam. The men to watch will be Lee Byrne and Shane Williams for Wales and Vincent Clerk for France.

All in all, an explosive weekend on tap!

Tuesday, 11 March 2008

The League Of Champions


Right, we are now down to the business end of the event. Only eight teams left out of thirty two hopefuls. Fifty percent of those teams are from a country that has not even qualified for the Euro 2008. How ironic can it get? Four out of the eight teams are English. Needless to say who they are. But just in case you are wondering, they are Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea and a couple of minutes back, Liverpool. Now they are joined by Roma, Barcelona, Fenerbahce and Porto. Familiar names like nine times champions Real Madrid and seven time winners AC Milan are not around. So are Bayern Munich, who were never in the competition this season. This has so far been a season where records have been created, most important of them all being, AC Milan's first defeat at San Siro to an English club and Fenerbahce's maiden European QF appearance. If the draws are favourable we also have the potential to see four English clubs make it to the Semi Finals. That would be fantastic! But that would also be boring. I mean who wants to see four English clubs play out the Semi Finals of Europe's premier club competition? Personally, I wouldn't. My club has always been Man United. Right now coming back to business.

Of these eight clubs, Arsenal, Chelsea, Roma and Fenerbahce are yet to win the cup. Porto have won it twice, the first time in 1986-87 and more recently in 2003-04. Liverpool have won it five times in 1976-77,1977-78, 1980-81, 1983-84 and 2004-05. Barcelona lifted the trophy in 1991-92 and 2005-06. Manchester United of course won it in 1968-69 and excatly thirty years later in 1998-99, their famous treble season.

After tonight's game against Inter Milan, Liverpool along with Arsenal look like strong contenders to claim top honours in Moscow, in a little over two months' time. At the moment my main priority is the Quarter Finals and Semi Finals draw that takes place on Friday. Who lands who, we shall see in three days' time.

Monday, 10 March 2008

2008 - The Season Preview


What you see above are the logos of the oldest and the newst teams in Formula One. All else lies between them, circa 2008...



The last season was a very exciting season for a lot of reasons. For the first time we would not be seeing Michael Schumacher on the track in fifteen years. Britain had a new hope in the form of Lewis Hamilton. This meant that the feeder series, The GP2 was proving to be a success. The first GP2 champion, Nico Rosberg found a place in Williams F1 in the 2006 season. Ferrari, for the first time in a decade was without Schumacher or Ross Brawn. They also had a new driver line-up, in the form of Kimi Raikkonen and Felipe Massa. World Champion Fernando Alonso, who had seen off Schumacher in the past two seasons, was with Mclaren, giving the team a lot of hope and confidence to forge a multiple-championship winning outfit once again. However the drama that would unfold over the eight months was not even close to what many of us had predicted. For starters, it was Hamilton who produced the fireworks and not Alonso. Midway through the season, the sport showed its dirty face. The spy row defamed the sport and cost Mclaren all their constructor’s points, thereby handing over the constructors’ title to Ferrari. Alonso was shooting off his mouth again, complaining that a British team was helping a British driver to win the title. Well he hoped to get preferential treatment, but Hamilton’s scorching performances were too much to take for the Spaniard and he had made his decision. The final race only needed Hamilton to secure three points to become a rookie World Champion, but it was the Iceman Kimi Raikkonen who came from nowhere and clinched the drivers’ title by a single point, thus securing the double.

As winter testing went underway, a lot of changes were seen. Alonso returned to his mentor, agent and former boss, Flavio Briatore and Renault, the very team he accused of not helping him in his title quest as he would take the number 1 car with him to Mclaren. Elsewhere, GP2 was proving to be something of a phenomenon, 2007 champion Timo Glock of Germany secured a driving spot for Toyota and Ralf Schumacher lost his drive. India was the latest country to crop up on Bernie Ecclestone’s radar for expanding the sport. A deal apparently had been done with the Indian Olympic Association and India, it was announced would host a race starting from 2010 in the capital New Delhi. A proud moment for me and my fellow Indians. A long, long time ago, Eddie Jordan’s ill fated Jordan team was bought by Midland and eventually sold to supercar manufacturer Spyker. Now the team was up for grabs once again and none other than Indian billionaire businessman Dr. Vijay Mallya scooped the team up and rechristened it as Force India Formula One Team. Another proud moment for us Indians! Following the controversy in the 2007 season, most top teams chose to have a low profile launch. The one team that went for a flashy, glamourous launch was Formula 1’s newest fledglings, Force India.

Technically we will see a lot of changes this season too. The most important of them all being the absence of traction control, launch control and braking control. This effectively means that the driver is in total control of the car. FIA have made it mandatory to use electronic equipment made by a single manufacturer. This has been done to ensure a level playing field and also as a cost cutting measure. Several other itsy bitsy rule changes have also been implemented.

So far testing says that the front runners will lead the pack like any other season. But then this is testing and not race day. Testing is usually an iterative process. Getting the right set up for the car is like solving a polynomial equation with a lot of variables. So how does one go about pre season testing? Let’s say we need to test the aerodynamics, tyres, handling and dynamics, engine performance under different loading conditions and so forth. The general method used to go about achieving this objective is simple. Keep all terms of the equation constant except for one. In simple terms, take the overall setup of the previous season’s car and run it with the new season’s aerodynamic package. Once this is optimised, retain this and then run the car with this season’s dynamics set-up. When this process is repeated with different packages, the car will finally have an all new setup. Now will be the time to fine tune each component to make it work effectively and reliably, because reliability is the key to a successful season. Championship winning teams need not have the best equipment, but what they need to have is the ability to get the best out of equipment and personnel that they have. Going forward from here, we will now look at the contenders, all the eleven teams, their drivers, their strengths, weaknesses; their last year performances and what will be a realistic achievement for them this season.


I will start with the reigning Champions and my love of twelve seasons, Ferrari. Underdogs to undisputed World Champions. That’s how the season went for Ferrari. After regaining the top spot, they will look forward to consolidating their position once again this season over the course of eighteen races, including the night race in Singapore. If you ask what’s easier; winning the title or successfully defending it, there is no team better equipped than Ferrari in this decade to answer that. Over the recent years they’ve proven time and again that they are the quickest to master any new circuit that hosts a race in Formula One.


Ferrari’s key strengths have always been unflinching reliability, excellent strategy, fantastic driver co-ordination, mastery of new tracks and blistering race-pace. This season they will look forward to enhancing their superiority over the grid as not just the oldest, but also the most successful team in Formula One.


Mclaren Racing have come a long way since Ron Dennis’s company Project 4 merged with Bruce McLaren’s team in 1981. Over the last twenty odd years, the team has seen a lot of ups and downs and some great driver line up, the most famous of them all being Ayrton Senna and Alain Prost. They started the last season with World Champ Fernando Alonso and GP2 Champion, Briton Lewis Hamilton. Things got to a great start as Hamilton quickly got the status of number one driver with his blazing time sheets and chilled demeanour. This did not go down well with Alonso, the wimp. However, what could have been their best season in recent times went all wrong, thanks to the big controversy midway into the season. The team lost all constructors’ points and Ron Dennis had to pay up a £50 million fine. The drivers’ title however should have been effortlessly taken by Lewis Hamilton, but his rookieness did not help him and he crumbled under pressure, handing the crown to Raikkonen.


This season Mclaren look good in testing and could be back with a resounding bang. They have roped in the Finn, Heikki Kovalainen as a replacement for Alonso who has gone back weeping and whining to Flavio Briatore and Renault. The last time Mclaren had a Finn British driver combination, they did not so bad. They won two drivers’ titles back to back and one constructors’ crown. Last season their biggest strength was Alonso and his championship winning experience that would be supported by rookie hopeful, Hamilton. What they ideally should be looking for this season is to forget last season’s debacles and start with a fresh mindset and approach.


Honda; a team with championship wins in the past as an engine supplier still have a lot to prove as a constructor. They only have one win so far. Their driver pairing is one of the most experienced on the grid today with Reubens Barrichello having 253 starts and Jenson Button having 137 race starts totalling 390 race starts, which is nearly double that of Raikkonen and Massa put together at 210 starts and more than eleven times that of Hamilton and Kovalainen 34 starts. They certainly have the experience, but do they have the results to go with it? Lets see. Barrichello has 9 wins to his credit and Jenson Button the sole win in Hungary 2006. Ten wins out of 390 starts. They have won 2.56% of the races they’ve started. Raikkonen and Massa together have 20 wins out of 210 starts. That’s 9.5%. Just for the records, Schumacher won 36.4% of the races he started in. So going by this what can we realistically expect from them? Barrichello will be reunited with Ross Brawn this season, the architect and technical wizard behind 88 out of Michael Schumacher’s 91 wins, the three that Brawn did not play a role in were in 1996 when Schumacher had moved to Ferrari, where Brawn would join him in 1997. Its time they translated their experience into results and started looking at becoming title-chasers instead of languishing in midfield. They should hope to consolidate on their 2006 performance, start 2008 as if 2007 never happened and try to get more podium finishes, if not wins.


Renault have been under the sharp and strategic leadership of Flavio Briatore for 20 years, this year being the 20th. They have produced two back to back World Champions, Michael Schumacher in 1994 and 1995 under Benetton and Fernando Alonso, who ironically dethroned Michael Schumacher in 2005 and held on to his crown in 2006. Alonso’s departure at the end of 2006 did neither party any good. Where Alonso lost the title by a point and a race win, Renault managed only one podium finish in 2007 and scored a lot lesser than they did in 2006. However things look bright for them again. Alonso is back with his agent and former boss, Briatore and they have a budding talent Nelson Piquet Jr, son of former World Champ, Nelson Piquet. However I hope Alonso has woken up from his rookie nightmare of 2007 and helps Renault consolidate their position before they become title chasers again, maybe in 2009.


If there is one team on the grid I dislike, that is Toyota. They entered Formula One in 2002 as the world’s largest automotive manufacturer, pioneers of quality management, Kaizen, JIT, Kan Ban and such innovative lean manufacturing techniques. I don’t know what went wrong but they clearly are a shadow of their automotive history. Their best standing so far has been fourth in 2005. Apart from that they’ve been in the midfield. I cannot understand what’s wrong with them. They’ve changed driver line-up, technical staff, management staff, they don’t lack a big budget and still they are exactly where they were when they started. They do have Timo Glock, the reigning GP2 Champion, who will have to live under the shadows of Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton if the does not perform. I am not quite sure if teams like Honda, Toyota and Super Aguri are doing Japanese reputation any good. If I tell today’s children that Toyota are the pioneers in automotive manufacturing I am pretty confident that I will be laughed at, given their Formula One performance. As far as Super Aguri are concerned, the lesser I talk, the better.


I am not overly going into Red Bull or Toro Rosso as I do not see them going anywhere from where they are. What concerns me though is that Williams have not been able to register a win since Brazil in 2004. That’s more than three years now. Their last title win came in 1997, under heavily controversial circumstances when Jacques Villeneuve was crowned champion after the infamous incident at Jerez, following which Schumacher was stripped off all his points for that season. Williams have a long way to go, with Toyota powering their cars and two youthful drivers who have a lot to prove themselves. Nico Rosberg, the first ever GP2 Champion, is the son of former World Champion Keke Rosberg and Kazuki Nakajima is the son of retired Formula One driver Satoru Nakajima. I hope that Williams rise to the occasion and put up a good fight this season. BMW Sauber is one team that has been consistent all along in recent years. They’ve been oscillating between fourth and sixth till they came second in 2007, courtesy of Mclaren being stripped off all their points. In Dr. Mario Thiessen, they have a veteran engineer, who has the technical and managerial mindset to guide them to the top. I like the resilience and consistency they’ve shown season after season and that too without any glitz or glamour. You don’t notice them coming till they’ve arrived. My personal favourite to take the fight to Ferrari and Mclaren this season.


Force India, Formula One’s fledglings are too new to be judged yet. However the experience of Fisichella and the money of Mallya should result in a period of renaissance and we will certainly see them qualifying out of the last four positions and eventually towards the end of the season, we could see them in a top six finish. However, knowing the F1 circus very well, I am keeping my hopes down. All will be revealed on 16th March in Melbourne at the season opener. I am looking forward to hearing the engines roar once again in five days time.